TrendingOn TikTok Shop, every discount that sells sets the price of the next one.
A plaster hand holding open scissors, cutting a large blank paper price tag in two, with the cut-off corner falling away in blue-violet
Sharp insights, smarter growth.
Cover story · E-Commerce

Your Black Friday discount can lose money however many orders it brings.

What decides it is how many of the extra orders you were going to get anyway, and the usual break-even sum leaves that out. Here’s the fuller sum, what the evidence says about that number, and how to measure your own.

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SectionE-Commerce
Reading time~12 min
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Nov 62026
E-Commerce

On TikTok Shop, every discount that sells sets the price of the next one.

Campaign and flash-deal prices can’t be above the lowest price customers paid in the past 30 days, and for the 2026 US Black Friday campaign, the past 90. Here’s the rest of what selling there involves in 2026: what it costs in the US, the UK, and the EU, what changed, what’s banned, and how promotions, creators, and ads fit together.

Mikołaj Salecki·18 min
Oct 312026
CRO

Your site probably can’t run the A/B test you’re planning.

The limit isn’t your traffic. It’s your orders. Below a few thousand a month, a test can only ever report a large win, and that win will often be several times bigger than the truth. What to do instead depends on which tier you’re in, and giving up on testing isn’t always the answer.

Mikołaj Salecki·10 min
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“A bigger sale day only makes the loss harder to see.
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06 · The editor
MSMikołaj Salecki, portrait
Mikołaj Salecki
Editor-in-chief

Writes about media, tech, and AI business for people who actually run digital. Former agency lead. Skeptic of frameworks that read better than they perform.

91Articles
9Channels
11hOf reading
2026Since

Also works as a digital consultant, helping companies with the day-to-day of their digital, from planning to shipping, over at salecki.digital.